High Yield Times

11 Apr 2009

Avoid the News, Find an Investment Strategy

The long-running Dalbar Financial Services study shows that funds routinely deliver bigger returns than investors actually get, because individuals only buy after a rise or sell after a decline. (MarketWatch)

What would also make an interesting study is to see how these decisions are correlated with the financial press headlines. True financial journalism is rare with most mainstream news happy to pump the market up and wish for better times when it dives. There is rarely any real analysis, especially on TV - you have to look online to find that.

All of this is in the context of the current market rally. Is this time to get back in? The simple answer is that, if you haven't done so already, then don't do it now! The S&P 500 is now sandwiched between its 200-day and 50-day moving averages. As the two indicators move towards each other there will come a crunch point. Is this a sucker's rally or the real thing? That will be the time to tell. Don't add to Dalbar's statistics. This is perhaps a good time to sit down and think of a real investment strategy. There are many strategies that work, you just have to find the one that's right for you, your level of assets and your time commitments. The worst strategy is to follow the news!

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